The thing is, Canada has been moving to slow down reliance on US trade for some time now. Y’all remember a pipeline that was supposed to be built but didn’t? Yeah, Canada still remembers that. The US has, in general, become a less reliable trade partner since early 2000s and Canada has been working on the exits for some time now.

In 2023, Canada had a 19.1% contraction of energy products to the United States. That’s about $40B CAD they took a pass on. Trump wasn’t in office then. This, which should be unsurprising to anyone, has been a thing that’s been going on for much longer than Trump. Same deal with Mexico and for that matter the entire world.

South America, the US used to be an absolute juggernaut there in 1999. Today, we’re barely on par with China’s imports into South America in only five countries in South America. The other countries in South America are mostly dominated by Chinese imports. In just twenty-five years we’ve had a massive erosion of trade into South America, that no four year President is going to fix.

The thing is, there’s a clear trend that the United States is going to be in a very different position 75 years from now, than it was in 75 years ago. World War II was a one time deal and the effects of it are slowly ebbing away, that’s just expected.

Now yes, there’s going to be leaders like Trump who throw tantrums along the way. Some of those are just for show. Like this recent one. I hear Republicans talk like “Mexico CAVED!!” And the reality is they just agreed to the exact same terms and conditions they agreed to back in 2019. This was always what was going to happen, but Trump being Trump he makes a show of it.

USMCA is due up for new terms next year. Pretty sure this whole fit Trump is throwing is going to be assuaged by “agreeing” to terms to the new USMCA that Canada was always going to agree to. Again, the vast majority of this is just show and both Canada and Mexico know to play along till they’ve hit the exit fully.

And like the deal being talked here in this article. This whole thing started back in March of last year. And this whole process goes further back. This isn’t some backroom deal Canada signed with Ecuador to say “fuck America”, but main stream media will act like it was. Because it’s fun to keep the poors frothy and eyes off the 1% fleecing us.

The overall trend is from now to 2100, the United States will become more normalized on the international trading markets. It will cease having it’s ridiculous outsized position it’s enjoyed since days of when most of Europe was razed by one crazy guy Elon adores. There’s going to be some who bemoan that fact of life, some who might outright reject it altogether, but eventually it’ll be as immutable as the sun setting in the west (till the Professor from Planet Express causes us to start rotating the other way).

We in the United States are likely to have more tantrums happen, like the one we are seeing, as we continue. That’s just what some are bound to do as we continue down that road of time. And they’re likely going to put on pageantries while they do it. Again this recent Mexico/Canada spat from Trump is a great example of doing the usual dog and pony show Trump is known for.

I love this so much.

It’s like we just got out of an abusive relationship with a narcissistic loser who rapes women and supports Nazis, and now all our friends are coming out to support us through it.

America: how are you gonna trade now?!

Canada: Boats, boats boaaatttss!

(Sorry guys, I’m very tired and stressed today, and I’m overly excited about the small wins)