Looks like a LOWESS curve (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Local_regression). They always overfit, but are still useful to show trends. The main danger is that they get wonky near the limits of the data. Note that that increase at the end of the left plot for Democrats looks like it is increasing -but that increase looks to be 100% dependent on that single data point for '25. Obviously, you never want your analysis to be dependent on a single point like that.
This is signal detection theory combined with an arms race that keeps the problem hard. You cannot block scrapers without blocking people, and you cannot inconvenience bots without also inconveniencing readers. You might figure something clever out temporarily, but eventually this truism will resurface. Excuse me while I solve a few more captchas.
Exactly, never assume silence is because they have changed their minds. They only just discovered it doesn’t play well in polling and are avoiding the topic. Unless they actively say they have changed their mind, they haven’t (and even then be skeptical). Ontario learned this the hard way several times in a row.
Reagan’s success was convincing the Democrats to under-correct and fully buy-into trickle-down neoliberalism for decades. That way, when people get fed up with it, a Republican gets to claim to be a third option against all those mainstream globalists who’s going to bring jobs back to America. The marks don’t recognize it was the Republican’s who started it in the first place.
Tesla does not have independent dealers. All stores are corporate owned.
Paywalled… but. TheStar has 6 months for a buck right now -might be worth paying to follow their election and tariff coverage, which is pretty good, and avoid all those American owned papers entirely.
4 countries that manipulate opinion through subterfuge and bots all over various media and social media sites. One country that just straight-up owns both and doesn’t need to bother with that kind of thing.
Watch some of the stuff Segall has done in the past decade. He gets winded standing up. Or rather don’t -he’s basically Rogan in 10-20 years, physically and mentally.
Minority governments are unstable, unpredictable, and result from very close-call elections. They may be okay-ish at getting progressive domestic policies passed, but the priority should be strong foreign policy for the near term. A majority is at least stable and consistent.
I use sendgrid as my outgoing smtp relay to avoid ip reputation issues you mention. You still have to configure your dns settings for spf and dkim pointing at their servers instead of yours. Their free tier is 10x the email I’ll ever send so it doesn’t cost anything. There are a few companies in this space with free tiers. It works, but it isnt Gmail level deliverability. I still get spam binned occasionally.